Document Title | Salifort Motors - HR Summary |
Author | Rod Slater |
Version | 1.0 |
Created | 01-11-2023 |
Modified | 16-11-2023 |
Client Name | Salifort Motors |
Client Contact | Mr HR Team |
Client Email | hr@salifortmotors.it |
Client Project | HR Team Data Driven Solutions from Machine Learning Models |
This notebook details a number of different visualisations of the data by department and compared to company average.
This can be used during discussions with team managers
Following a comprehensive analysis of the data provided by the HR department on employees who have left the organization, I have identified several key factors contributing to employee attrition. It is crucial to address these issues to enhance employee satisfaction, engagement, and retention within the company.
Those who left fall generally into one of two groups either low scoring or high scoring with 28% of low scoring employees leaving and 17% of high scoring employees leaving. 46% of employees who left had a low or medium score, there's also a strong correlation to hours worked as seen on the correlation plot, where those who left also tend to work more hours.
satisfaction
,
number_project
, avg_mnth_hrs
and
tenure
last_eval
score vs 10%
of total employees who stayedlast_eval
score vs
38% of total employees who stayedlast_eval
score vs 51%
of total employees who stayedCaveats - The number of projects is a simple metric that does not take into account either the complexity or duration of the project. A member of staff could only have worked on one project, but the complexity and duration of the project would not be taken into account with the available data. There is also a high correlation to the number of hours worked.
People who left are mostly in the low and medium salary ranges
People who left are estimated to cost the business £42M (assuming 30% cost of annual salary to replace)
45% of employees who worked on 2 or less projects left
100% of employees who worked on seven projects left the company
26% of employees who worked on 5 or more projects left the company
50% of employees who left, worked on either 2 or less or more than 5 projects
Highest retention was with employees who worked on between 3-5 projects where 95% of the staff were retained.
Lowest retention was with employees who worked on 2 projects, 46% of the staff were retained or 6+ projects where 3% of the staff were retained.
We are making assumptions here!
We would need some additional information in the dataset to identify the start year for each employee and which department managers belong to.
In management circles, it is common knowledge that the ideal number of direct subordinates a manager should have is 7±2 that is around 8 employees,plus or minus 2.
Currently within Salifort Motors, there are 9616 current employees (not management) and 384 Managers (not employees). This puts the employee manager ratio at 23 employees for every manager.
Conventional management thinking of 8 employees per manager, the client would need to recruit/develop a further 800+ managers to bring the employee to manager ratio down to more conventional levels.
This also links to the promotion field where the % of employees who have received promotions in the last five years is very low (1.6%) and the opportunity to grow management resources within the business is high.
Consideration should be given to the development path for employees to move into management.
The feature is not collinear with any others.
Employees who left had lower mean and medium scores than those that stayed.
15% of all employees had an accident recorded against them.
This accident percentage is 6.5 times the national average of 2.3% [^1]. This column will be removed data seems questionable and needs further investigation before considering it for inclusion in the model, but with a low % of employees affected, I doubt it will have much impact on the model.
There were 1850 accident incidents in the data, which is 15% of the total staff.
People who stayed recorded 1,745 accidents (94% of accidents were from people who stayed)
People who left recorded 105 accidents (6% of accidents were from people who left)
[^1] In 2022, the rate of injury cases was 2.3 cases per 100 FTE workers, unchanged from 2021. US Bureau Labour of Statistics, US Department of Labour - https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/osh.pdf
93% of staff have a tenure of five or less than 5 years.
One prominent factor associated with employee departure is low pay. It is evident that a significant number of departing employees expressed dissatisfaction with their compensation packages. I recommend a thorough review of the current salary structures to ensure they align with industry standards and adequately reward employees for their contributions.
Long working hours and varying project loads have emerged as significant contributors to employee turnover. Striking a balance between workload and work-life balance is essential. Addressing these concerns may involve optimizing project allocation, setting realistic deadlines, and promoting a healthier work environment.
The data indicated a lack of recognition from management as a key reason for an employees departure. Implementing regular acknowledgment programs and fostering a culture of appreciation and care can significantly boost morale and job satisfaction.
Self-reported low job satisfaction is a recurring theme among departing employees. Conducting employee surveys and feedback sessions can provide valuable insights into specific areas that require improvement, allowing the organization to tailor interventions to meet employee needs.
The absence of promotions and limited career growth opportunities has been identified as a concern. Initiatives such as mentorship programs, skill development workshops, and transparent career progression paths can help retain valuable talent within the organization.
In conclusion, addressing these key factors is imperative for fostering a positive work environment, retaining talented employees, and ultimately improving organizational performance. I recommend a strategic action plan that includes targeted interventions to mitigate these challenges and enhance overall employee satisfaction.
Thank you for your attention to these critical matters. I am available for further discussion and collaboration to implement these recommendations effectively.
The model is based on a machine learning algorithm call XGBoost.
probabilities > high_risk_threshold 90% | |
---|---|
Count of employees with leave probability above 90% | 12 |
Percentage of employees with leave probability above 90% | 0.13% |
probabilities > medium_risk_threshold 70% | |
Count of employees with leave probability above 70% | 33 |
Percentage of employees with leave probability above 70% | 0.36% |
probabilities > predict_risk_threshold 50% | |
Count of employees with leave probability above 50% | 67 |
Percentage of employees with leave probability above 50% | 0.72% |
If we apply the model to employees who have already left, effectively testing the model against known data, we can see that 72% of employees who left would have been flagged by the ML model as at high risk, and action perhaps could have been taken before the inevitable. If we lower the risk threshold to medium risk at 70%, then over 90% of these employees would have been flagged and if we look to those flagged above low risk at 50%, 91% of employees would have been flagged.
To put some perspective around this, the level of accuracy demonstrated by the model is significantly better than a random guess.
probabilities > high_risk_threshold 90% | |
---|---|
Count of employees with leave probability above 90% | 1,360 |
Percentage of employees with leave probability above 90% | 72.26% |
probabilities > medium_risk_threshold 70% | |
Count of employees with leave probability above 70% | 1,712 |
Percentage of employees with leave probability above 70% | 90.97% |
probabilities > predict_risk_threshold 50% | |
Count of employees with leave probability above 50% | 1,731 |
Percentage of employees with leave probability above 50% | 91.98% |
% of employees left that were predicted | XGBoost Predicted to leave > (50% )/ % of employees who left | 86.94 % |
This requires a live setup. Kaggle to the rescue!
Predictions Files
Team Report Template
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